China’s rare earth exports to US surge to second-highest level since 2025 controls

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China’s rare earth exports to US surge to second-highest level since 2025 controls
PrimeXBT Editorial Team
Reviewed by PrimeXBT

China's exports of yttrium oxide and rare earth permanent magnets to the US climbed to their second-highest monthly levels since Beijing's April 2025 export controls took effect. The increase lands just as Xi Jinping prepares for trade talks at the White House, while shipments to Japan stay tightly restricted.

Chinese exports of yttrium oxide to the US reached 29 metric tons in July 2026, the second-largest monthly shipment since Beijing imposed export controls in April 2025. Permanent magnet exports followed the same pattern, hitting 647 tons in July, also the second-highest monthly volume in the post-controls era.

Why yttrium matters to aerospace

Yttrium oxide forms the backbone of thermal barrier coatings on jet engine turbine blades, the thin layers that let metal survive extreme heat. Without reliable supply, aerospace production lines slow, maintenance cycles slip, and costs climb. China dominates global rare earth production and refining, so when Beijing tightened controls in April 2025, yttrium prices surged to record levels and US manufacturers scrambled for alternative sources.

The July numbers suggest Beijing is selectively easing that pressure. Even so, shipments to Japan remain severely restricted: exports of yttrium, terbium, and dysprosium to Tokyo are still running at a trickle, reflecting a colder diplomatic relationship than the one with Washington.

A negotiating gesture ahead of trade talks

The timing lines up with Xi Jinping's upcoming trade talks at the White House, and the export increase reads like a gesture delivered in metric tons rather than diplomatic cables. Beijing has used rare earth supply as leverage before, most notably during its 2010 export restrictions targeting Japan after a maritime territorial dispute. Permanent magnets, which feed into everything from electric vehicle motors to precision-guided munitions, tell a parallel story: the April 2025 controls exposed how dependent the US defense industrial base remains on Chinese supply.

Supply chain still concentrated

US aerospace and defense companies that had been rationing materials now have somewhat more room to operate, and procurement teams paying record spot-market prices may see some relief. Australia's Lynas Rare Earths and Canada's Neo Performance Materials are among the firms building non-Chinese supply chains, but their combined output remains a fraction of what China produces. The divergence between US and Japanese treatment is worth watching: if Beijing keeps restricting Tokyo while loosening exports to Washington, it signals a strategy of dividing allied responses, and Japan's automotive and electronics industries depend on the same elements now flowing more freely to the US.

Source: Crypto Briefing

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